FiveThirtyEight recently hosted a round table chat titled, “If Trump Is Down in The Polls, Why Do So Many Americans Think He’ll Win?”
Much of their discussion was based on an apparent consensus that Biden IS beating the President badly in the polls.
Politics editor Sarah Frostenson observed that some early polls show former Vice President Biden has a good lead in a number of swing states, yet “many Americans don’t believe Trump will lose despite the many, many polls showing Biden ahead.”
Senior writer Perry Bacon Jr. opined that voters might be leery of polls because of what happened in 2016 but then added, “people are less confident that the election will take place in a traditional way.”
Elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich parroted the latest major polls, saying that Trump is still “quite unpopular.”
Interestingly, little is said here about the only national daily tracking poll, Rasmussen. Since Gallup quit the arena, Rasmussen is the only nationally recognized public opinion firm that tracks the President’s job approval ratings on a daily basis.
Generally conservative, Real Clear Politics shows former President Obama’s approval rating 4 points ahead of Trump at the same point in their presidency. Rasmussen, which only tracks likely voters shows just the opposite.
Watch the video as Tim Pool explains how Donald Trump changed polling for years to come. Learn from Pool if the media or NeverTrumpers learned anything from the 2016 election.
you bet your life on it. Trump 2020