Political Scientist Predicts Trump has a 91% Chance at Re-election

It used to be widely known by everyone that when an incumbent president runs for reelection, the opposing party simply runs a placeholder — a sacrificial lamb — because they know they’re going to lose. This explains the candidacies of people like Bob Dole, John Kerry and Mitt Romney in recent years.

The only time in the last century when an incumbent has lost their reelection bid was in 1992. That was the year that third-party candidate Ross Perot ran and pulled almost 20 million votes. Perot’s independent run allowed Bill Clinton to win the presidency with just 43% of the popular vote — the lowest margin in more than 120 years.

Yet in 2020, every major national poll has Joe Biden somehow trouncing a powerful and popular incumbent like Donald Trump? The aggregate of all of the national polls right now shows Biden up by 9.2 points over Trump.

Should we just give up and avoid voting on Election Day? Of course not. The polls said the same thing about Hillary Clinton four years ago (only she was up 16 points in the aggregate at this time).

One political scientist accurately predicted Donald Trump’s victory in 2016, and he’s back this year with another bombshell prediction that goes against all the polling. Professor Helmut Norpoth teaches at Stony Brook University and the “Norpoth Model” of predicting presidential elections is obviously named after him.

Check out this video to learn Professor Norpoth’s prediction for the 2020 election — and yes, once again, his prediction runs against the grain of all of the national polls…


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18 thoughts on “Political Scientist Predicts Trump has a 91% Chance at Re-election”

    1. Some of us voted early at our voting station.
      We’ve helped to assure President Trump knows hems a winner yesterday, today & in 2020-21.

  1. Mr. President Donald J Trump is going to be the president for 4 more years. And nothing or no one is going to stand against what God almighty is doing with the USA. Is His agenda, and Him,God is going to be glorify. Praise be his name for ever.

  2. We are praying earnestly that God will let our pa President Trump win the election so he could continue to lead our nation in the correct trajectory had already put in place. How many presidents had accomplished as much as he had in a short 3 1/2 yrs. inspite of all the roadblocks and distractions the Democrats had thrown in his way to defeat his goals ?

  3. Landslide coming. Biden has dementia – would you trust him with nuclear codes, your taxes (which he says he’s going to raise), he wants to close the economy back down, is almost a pedophile, is in China’s back pocket and has an “lol-OUTSTANDING” running mate in Kamala who will probably be President in a month as Biden is declared incompetent by Nancy (so SHE can become the replacement VP). Be afraid – be very afraid.

  4. God will either reward our country and have Donald J Trump continue to lead us all in his image, or God will continue to punish people in this country/world, some of which are continuously trying to eliminate his holy name. May our Heavenly father and his son Jesus Christ have mercy on all who are devils and deceitful. Including poor ole Joe who is being used by the evil democrats. May all sinners repent of their sins and turn their faces toward our HOLY GOD!! Amen Go President Trump!!!!!!! We LOVE you and our first lady!!!

  5. I am in my 90’s and believe that these 2 are among the poorest we have had
    Running for President …I think of Roosevelt, Eisenhower, Trump and when
    Compare. However, of the 2 Trump is the strongest. So, select him.
    Hope, in the future, we have strong leaders.

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